The vintage basket has posted a positive reading every week since August 13 and the readings are getting larger, not smaller. Here is the full history, what is driving it, and what would make us call it a rally.
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Three public sales of the same 2005 card inside nine days, in PSA 6, CGC 10 and CGC 10 Pristine. The ladder from a mid-grade to the finest known copy is 24 to 1, and the top rung is almost all label.
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PSA cleared 950,000 cards in two weeks and is 1.5 million below its July peak, but the Regular tier now quotes 70 to 80 business days and the Value tiers stay closed until the pile is under 5 million.
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The same card, the same grade, four public sales: $7,000 in January 2025, a $32,790 record, then $114,000 and $132,000 in one August auction. The Gold Star repricing, in one chart.
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Three Illustrator Pikachu sales in 2026, three grades, prices from $1 million to $16.5 million. The ladder is steep, continuous, and tells you what condition is worth at the very top.
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The five biggest TCG sales of the week swing from half a million to four and a half million depending on whether a single trophy-grade card trades. Why the weekly total is a bad thermometer and a good barometer.
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PSA's grading queue read 11.85 million on August 11, the first clear drop since the Value tiers were paused in June. What the curve looks like and what it means for your submissions and your slabs.
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